俄罗斯可能将石油日产量提高至1140万桶

　　中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网报道，俄罗斯政府副总理诺瓦克10月14日表示，俄罗斯目前的原油日产量为990万桶，但俄罗斯有能力将石油日产量提高至1140万桶。

　　不过，诺瓦克补充称，俄罗斯的石油产量水平应由市场来引导。

　　诺瓦克是在俄罗斯能源周论坛上发表上述讲话的。他表示，由于莫斯科正在调整其与欧佩克+协议的配额产量，俄罗斯10月份的石油日产量将为990万桶。

　　俄罗斯这位主管能源事务的副总理补充称，俄罗斯此前已达到1130万桶- 1140万桶的最大石油日产量，并指出俄罗斯将产量提高到这一水平没有问题。 不过，诺瓦克说，有必要考虑到石油市场的形势。

　　这位负责领导俄罗斯参与欧佩克+协议的副总理还表示，目前的油价和供求平衡充分反映了形势，俄罗斯预计短期内石油市场不会出现极端波动。

　　包括诺瓦克在内的俄罗斯政府官员最近几个月来一直在表示，俄罗斯预计其原油和凝析油产量到2022年5月将恢复到疫情前的水平。

　　根据欧佩克+联盟的最新配额分配，非欧佩克产油国的领导者俄罗斯11月的配额上限为991.3万桶/天，与欧佩克事实上的领导者和最大产油国沙特阿拉伯相同。

　　俄罗斯的原油产量比其他欧佩克+成员国的产量更难估计，因为俄罗斯的官方数据不区分原油和凝析油产量，但凝析油不包括在俄罗斯的欧佩克+配额中。

　　彭博社估计，俄罗斯9月份原油和凝析油日产量为1070万桶。 据彭博社计算，如果凝析油日产量为88万桶，那么俄罗斯原油日产量达到983万桶，比其欧佩克+配额高出13万桶/天。

　　分析人士表示，俄罗斯的石油产能可能已经达到极限。

　　李峻 编译自 油价网

　　原文如下：

　　Russia Could Boost Oil Production To 11.4 Million Bpd

　　Russia is currently pumping 9.9 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil, but has the capacity to increase production to up to 11.4 million bpd, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday.

　　Nevertheless, the output level should be guided by the market, Novak added.

　　Russia’s oil production in October will be 9.9 million bpd, as Moscow is aligning its output with the OPEC+ agreement, Novak said at the Russian Energy Week forum today.

　　The country has previously reached maximum production of 11.3 million bpd-11.4 million bpd, the official added, noting that Russia has no problem in boosting output to that level. However, it is necessary to take into account the situation on the oil market, Novak said.

　　The deputy prime minister, who is in charge of leading Russia’s participation in the OPEC+ deal, also said that the current oil prices and supply-demand balance adequately reflect the situation, and Russia doesn’t expect extreme volatility on the oil market in the short term.

　　Russia expects its crude oil plus condensate production to return to pre-pandemic levels by May 2022, Russian officials, including Novak, have said in recent months.

　　As per the latest quota distribution of the OPEC+ group, Russia, the leader of the non-OPEC producers in the pact, has a ceiling of 9.913 million bpd for November—the same as OPEC’s de facto leader and top producer, Saudi Arabia.

　　Russia’s crude oil production is trickier to estimate than the output levels of the other OPEC+ members because official Russian data doesn’t discriminate between crude oil and condensate production, but condensates are excluded from Russia’s OPEC+ quota.

　　Bloomberg estimates put Russian crude and condensate production in September at 10.7 million bpd. If condensate production was around 880,000 bpd, this would put Russian crude oil output at 9.83 million bpd, which would be 130,000 bpd above quota, as per Bloomberg calculations.

　　Analysts say that Russia may have reached its capacity to produce oil.