IEA上调2021年和2022年石油需求预期

　　中国石化新闻网讯 据Neftegaz 10月18日巴黎报道，总部位于巴黎的国际能源署(IEA)上调了2021年和2022年的全球石油需求预测。

　　IEA表示，到2022年第一季度，当前的能源危机可能会使需求比正常情况下每天增加50万桶。

　　预计到2022年，亚太地区的石油消费量最高，为3720万桶/天，其次是美洲3110万桶/天和欧洲1420万桶/天。

　　创纪录的煤炭和天然气价格，以及轮番停电，正促使电力行业和能源密集型行业转向石油，这推高了全球石油需求。

　　IEA 修订后的估计显示，2021 年全球石油需求预计将达到 9630 万桶/天，2022 年将达到 9960 万桶/天。

　　至于世界石油供应，IEA预计10月份将大幅增加，美国的石油产量将从飓风“艾达”的影响中反弹，欧佩克+准备在今年11月增加40万桶/天的产量。

　　IEA警告称，能源价格上涨可能导致工业活动减少，经济从疫情中复苏将放缓。

　　裘寅 编译自Neftegaz

　　原文如下：

　　International Energy Agency revised up its oil demand estimates for 2021 and 2022

　　The Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised up global oil demand forecasts for 2021 and 2022.

　　The current energy crisis could boost demand by 500,000 b/d compared with normal conditions through to the 1st quarter of 2022, the IEA said.

　　In 2022, the highest consumption is forecast to be in the Asia Pacific region with 37.2 million barrels per day, followed by the Americas with 31.1 million barrels and Europe with 14.2 million barrels.

　　Record coal and gas prices, as well as rolling black-outs are prompting the power sector and energy-intensive industries to turn to oil, which has pushed up global oil demand.

　　Global oil demand is expected to reach 96.3 million b/d in 2021 and 99.6 million b/d in 2022, IEA's revised estimate shows.

　　As for world oil supply, the IEA projected a sharp rise in October, with the US' output set to bounce back from Hurricane Ida, and the OPEC+ ready to boost output by 400,000 barrels per day for November this year.

　　Higher energy prices could lead to lower industrial activity and a slowdown in economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic, the IEA warned.